Release: 2024/05/02 07:00 Reading: 679
Altcoins Headed for a 40% Crash
In the wake of Bitcoin's recent price decline, altcoins have experienced significant losses, leaving many investors in the red. This is not uncommon, as altcoins tend to exhibit higher volatility than Bitcoin, resulting in more pronounced price swings. While some anticipate a recovery, one analyst disagrees.
Altcoins to Plummet Further
In an analysis shared on X (formerly Twitter), renowned crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen presented a bearish outlook for altcoins. He predicts that the market has not yet reached its bottom and that further declines are imminent.
Cowen's analysis focuses on altcoin pairs against Bitcoin. He observes that these pairs are showing weakness against the leading cryptocurrency. This is attributed to anticipated rate cuts, which have historically led to altcoin declines.
Historical Precedent
Cowen cites the 2019 rate cuts and the subsequent plunge in altcoin prices against Bitcoin. Major altcoins experienced losses of up to 40% during that period. He suggests that history may repeat itself, leading to a similar 40% decline in ALT/BTC pairs over the coming months.
Thesis Unaffected by Short-Term Trends
Cowen emphasizes that his thesis remains valid, regardless of any short-term market recoveries. "Short-term countertrends do not invalidate this view," he states.
Altcoin Market Cap at Risk
If Cowen's prediction materializes, it could exacerbate the already challenging market conditions. The altcoin market capitalization has already dipped below $1 trillion, and a 40% decline could push it as low as $600 billion.
Impact on Individual Altcoins
While Bitcoin's crash has been severe, the impact on altcoins has been even more pronounced. Ethereum has weathered the storm relatively well with a decline of less than 4%, but others have suffered significant losses. Stacks (STX), Arweave (AR), Neo (NEO), and Sei (SEI) have all dropped an average of 9% in the past 24 hours.
Meme Coins and Market Winners
Meme coins have not been spared, with Dogecoin (DOGE) falling 6% to $0.126 and Pepe (PEPE) plummeting 7.74% to $0.0000063. Bonk (BONK) has lost 5% of its recent gains, while Shiba Inu (SHIB) has declined by 4.18%.
Despite the overall market downturn, some tokens have emerged as winners. Optimism (OP) has surged by 12%, Cosmos (ATOM) has gained 9.8%, and Starknet (STRK) has risen by 9%, according to data from Coinmarketcap.
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