Can Bitcoin Influence the Next President?
比特币能影响下一任总统吗？
发布: 2024/08/08 19:59 阅读: 607
2024 Political Decision Stunner: How Crypto Could Choose the Next U.S. President
2024 年政治决策尤物：加密货币如何选择下一任美国总统
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, an unprecedented force is poised to influence the race: cryptocurrency. Once dismissed as a speculative asset, digital currencies are now playing a pivotal role in national politics, potentially affecting the outcome of one of the most pivotal elections in American history.
随着 2024 年美国总统大选的临近，一种前所未有的力量即将影响竞选：加密货币。数字货币曾经被视为投机资产，但现在在国家政治中发挥着关键作用，可能会影响美国历史上最关键的选举之一的结果。
The Crypto Surge: A New Political Powerhouse
加密货币热潮：新的政治力量
Cryptocurrency, previously regarded as a passing trend, has firmly established itself in the political arena. Candidates are recognizing that their stance on digital currencies could influence their electoral success. Nearly half of American voters now include crypto in their investment portfolios, raising the stakes for the upcoming election.
加密货币曾被视为一种过时的趋势，但现在已经在政治舞台上站稳了脚跟。候选人认识到他们对数字货币的立场可能会影响他们的选举成功。近一半的美国选民现在将加密货币纳入他们的投资组合，这增加了即将到来的选举的赌注。
According to a recent Harris Poll, 47% of American voters view crypto as an integral part of their financial future. This growing adoption has compelled candidates to adapt their strategies, acknowledging the importance of their positions on digital currencies.
根据最近的哈里斯民意调查，47% 的美国选民将加密货币视为其财务未来不可或缺的一部分。这种日益增长的采用迫使候选人调整他们的策略，承认他们对数字货币的立场的重要性。
Trump's Crypto Turn: A Game-Changer?
特朗普的加密货币转向：游戏规则改变者？
Former President Donald Trump has made a significant shift in his stance on cryptocurrency. Once a vocal critic of Bitcoin, Trump is now actively courting the crypto community, accepting campaign donations in Bitcoin, Ether, and Dogecoin. This move aims to secure votes from the anti-CBDC and pro-crypto coalition.
前总统唐纳德·特朗普对加密货币的立场发生了重大转变。特朗普曾经直言不讳地批评比特币，现在正在积极讨好加密货币社区，接受比特币、以太币和狗狗币的竞选捐款。此举旨在确保反 CBDC 和支持加密货币联盟的选票。
At a recent event, Trump pledged that under his leadership, the U.S. would become a global leader in crypto innovation, preventing companies from relocating overseas. His newfound support from industry leaders and the broader crypto community has strengthened his position as the preferred candidate for those invested in digital assets.
在最近的一次活动中，特朗普承诺在他的领导下，美国将成为加密货币创新的全球领导者，阻止公司迁往海外。他获得的行业领袖和更广泛的加密货币社区的新支持巩固了他作为数字资产投资者首选候选人的地位。
Kamala Harris' Balancing Act: Can She Win Over the Crypto Community?
卡玛拉·哈里斯的平衡之举：她能赢得加密货币社区的支持吗？
With President Joe Biden stepping down from the presidential race, Vice President Kamala Harris has taken the lead for the Democratic Party. Traditionally viewed as indifferent to the crypto industry, Harris has adjusted her approach.
随着总统乔·拜登退出总统竞选，副总统卡马拉·哈里斯在民主党中处于领先地位。传统上人们认为哈里斯对加密行业漠不关心，但她调整了自己的做法。
The Biden administration's push for a 30% tax on crypto mining and stricter regulations had sparked concern in the crypto community. However, with Trump's pro-crypto stance, Harris' campaign has engaged with crypto firms to develop a crypto-friendly policy.
拜登政府推动对加密货币挖矿征收30%的税以及更严格的监管，引发了加密货币社区的担忧。然而，由于特朗普支持加密货币的立场，哈里斯的竞选团队已与加密货币公司合作制定一项有利于加密货币的政策。
However, Biden's recent veto of a bill allowing financial firms to custody Bitcoin ignited outrage within the crypto community. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse expressed disappointment, calling it a missed opportunity. As Harris navigates between regulation and innovation, the question remains: Can she win over the crypto-savvy electorate?
然而，拜登最近否决了一项允许金融公司托管比特币的法案，引发了加密社区的愤怒。 Ripple 首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯 (Brad Garlinghouse) 表示失望，称这是一个错失的机会。当哈里斯在监管和创新之间徘徊时，问题依然存在：她能否赢得精通加密货币的选民的支持？
The Crypto Vote: A Decisive Factor in 2024?
加密货币投票：2024 年的决定性因素？
With 52 million American adults using or holding crypto, the 2024 election could hinge on this crucial voting bloc. States with large numbers of crypto holders, such as California and New York, were key to Biden's 2020 victory. However, changing sentiments could swing these states if Harris' policies alienate these voters.
由于有 5200 万美国成年人使用或持有加密货币，2024 年的选举可能取决于这个关键的投票集团。加州和纽约等拥有大量加密货币持有者的州是拜登 2020 年获胜的关键。然而，如果哈里斯的政策疏远了这些选民，情绪的变化可能会影响这些州。
A recent Harris Poll in swing states found that nearly half of respondents distrust candidates who oppose cryptocurrencies. Moreover, 30% said they are more likely to support a pro-crypto candidate. As crypto becomes more mainstream, it is not just a financial issue but a political one that could determine the next U.S. president.
最近在摇摆州进行的哈里斯民意调查发现，近一半的受访者不信任反对加密货币的候选人。此外，30% 的人表示他们更有可能支持支持加密货币的候选人。随着加密货币变得更加主流，它不仅仅是一个财务问题，而且是一个可能决定下一任美国总统的政治问题。
Lobbyists and Legislation: The Crypto Industry's Growing Influence
游说者和立法：加密行业的影响力日益增长
Crypto lobbyists have increased their efforts, spending record amounts in 2023 to influence the upcoming election. Coinbase, the largest spender, contributed $2.16 million to lobbying for clearer tax reporting requirements and better regulatory frameworks. The Fairshake Political Action Committee (PAC), backed by major crypto firms, has also funded pro-crypto candidates' campaigns.
加密货币游说者加大力度，在 2023 年花费创纪录的金额来影响即将到来的选举。最大的支出者 Coinbase 捐款 216 万美元用于游说更明确的税务报告要求和更好的监管框架。 Fairshake 政治行动委员会 (PAC) 在主要加密货币公司的支持下，也资助了支持加密货币的候选人的竞选活动。
These lobbying efforts have yielded results. Two major bills, the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act and the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, were passed in 2023, increasing regulatory clarity for the industry. While not directly supported by presidential candidates, these bills reflect a growing acceptance of crypto in Washington, a trend that candidates cannot ignore.
这些游说努力取得了成果。 《21 世纪金融创新和技术法案》和《区块链监管确定性法案》这两项主要法案于 2023 年获得通过，提高了该行业的监管透明度。虽然没有得到总统候选人的直接支持，但这些法案反映出华盛顿对加密货币的接受程度越来越高，这是候选人不能忽视的趋势。
The Future of Crypto in U.S. Politics
加密货币在美国政治中的未来
Regardless of the outcome of the 2024 election, cryptocurrency has emerged as a significant force in U.S. politics. The recent SEC approval of spot Ether ETFs is just one example of the industry's increasing influence. As more Americans invest in digital assets, candidates must navigate this new terrain or risk losing a vital voter base.
无论 2024 年大选结果如何，加密货币已成为美国政治中的一支重要力量。美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 最近批准以太坊 ETF 现货只是该行业影响力日益增强的一个例子。随着越来越多的美国人投资数字资产，候选人必须驾驭这一新领域，否则就有失去重要选民基础的风险。
The 2024 election could well be determined by which candidate better understands and supports the crypto industry. As the political landscape continues to evolve, one thing is certain: the era of crypto politics has only just begun, and its impact on the U.S. presidency will be felt for years to come.
2024 年的选举很可能取决于哪位候选人更了解和支持加密货币行业。随着政治格局的不断发展，有一点是确定的：加密货币政治的时代才刚刚开始，其对美国总统的影响将在未来几年内显现出来。
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