Bitcoin trades sideways while TON, RNDR, PEPE and AR flash bullish signs
比特币横向盘整，TON、RNDR、PEPE 和 AR 闪现看涨迹象
发布: 2024/05/13 05:19 阅读: 546
Bitcoin Price Analysis
比特币价格分析
Bitcoin (BTC) failed to sustain its recovery this week, indicating that bears remain active and are exploiting rallies as selling opportunities. Bitcoin is on track to end the week with a loss exceeding 4%. The longer the price remains near $60,000, the higher the likelihood of a downside breakdown.
比特币（BTC）本周未能维持反弹，表明空头仍然活跃，并利用反弹作为抛售机会。比特币有望在本周结束时下跌超过 4%。价格在 60,000 美元附近保持的时间越长，下跌的可能性就越大。
However, analysts maintain a bullish outlook for the post-halving cycle. Timothy Peterson, founder and investment manager of Cane Island Alternative Advisors, predicts Bitcoin could surge to "between $175,000 - $350,000 in the next 9 months." Peterson cautions in a 
post that "this bull market will end in January 2025."
不过，分析师仍对减半周期的前景持乐观态度。 Cane Island Alternative Advisors 的创始人兼投资经理蒂莫西·彼得森 (Timothy Peterson) 预测，比特币可能“在未来 9 个月内飙升至 175,000 美元至 350,000 美元之间”。彼得森在一篇文章中警告称，“本次牛市将于 2025 年 1 月结束。”
Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360
加密货币市场数据每日查看。来源：Coin360
Despite Bitcoin's sideways price action, traditional finance companies are adding it to their portfolios. JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo reported exposure to spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in their May 10 filing with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Although the allocation to Bitcoin is small, it represents a positive step.
尽管比特币价格横盘走势，传统金融公司仍在将其添加到其投资组合中。摩根大通和富国银行在 5 月 10 日向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中报告了其对现货比特币交易所交易基金的敞口。尽管比特币的分配规模很小，但这代表着积极的一步。
Could Bitcoin's range-bound movement shift focus to altcoins? Let's examine the top 5 cryptocurrencies that show promise on the charts.
比特币的区间波动能否将焦点转向山寨币？让我们来看看图表上显示出前景的前 5 种加密货币。
Bitcoin Price Analysis
比特币价格分析
Bulls have successfully defended the $59,600 level in Bitcoin but failed to drive the price above the 20-day exponential moving average ($62,650). This indicates an intense battle between bulls and bears.
多头成功守住了比特币 59,600 美元的水平，但未能将价格推升至 20 天指数移动平均线（62,650 美元）之上。这预示着多头和空头之间的激烈战斗。
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
BTC/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The downsloping 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) in negative territory suggest an advantage for sellers. If the $59,600 level cracks, the BTC/USDT pair could retest the May 1 intraday low of $56,552. This level is expected to attract buyers, but if bears prevail, the pair may decline to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
向下倾斜的 20 日均线和负值区域的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 表明卖家有优势。如果突破 59,600 美元水平，BTC/USDT 货币对可能会重新测试 5 月 1 日盘中低点 56,552 美元。该水平预计将吸引买家，但如果空头占上风，该货币对可能会跌至 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元。
To prevent a downside move, bulls will need to push and maintain the price above the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair could rise to $67,250. Buyers will then need to overcome this hurdle to initiate a rally towards $73,777.
为了防止下跌，多头需要将价格推高并维持在 20 日均线之上。如果他们成功，该货币对可能会上涨至 67,250 美元。然后买家需要克服这一障碍才能发起反弹至 73,777 美元。
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
BTC/USDT 4 小时图。来源：TradingView
The 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart is flattening out, and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating that selling pressure is easing. The crucial support to watch on the downside is $59,600. If this level is breached, selling may intensify, and the pair could plunge to $56,552.
4小时图20均线趋于平缓，RSI接近中点，表明卖压正在缓解。下行方面值得关注的关键支撑位是 59,600 美元。如果突破该水平，抛售可能会加剧，该货币对可能会暴跌至 56,552 美元。
Conversely, if the price rises above the 50-simple moving average, it will suggest that bulls are attempting a comeback. The pair may rise to $63,500 and subsequently to $65,500. A break above this resistance will signal that bears may be losing their grip.
相反，如果价格升至 50 简单移动平均线之上，则表明多头正在尝试卷土重来。该货币对可能升至 63,500 美元，随后升至 65,500 美元。突破该阻力位将表明空头可能会失去控制。
Toncoin Price Analysis
Toncoin 价格分析
Toncoin (TON) has been attempting to rise above the immediate resistance of $7.23, but bears are holding their ground.
Toncoin (TON) 一直试图突破 7.23 美元的直接阻力位，但空头坚守阵地。
TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
TON/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
A minor positive sign for the bulls is that they have not allowed the price to slip much below $7.23. This increases the probability of a break above $7.23. If that occurs, the TON/USDT pair could challenge the resistance at $7.67.
对于多头来说，一个小小的积极信号是，他们不允许价格跌破 7.23 美元。这增加了突破 7.23 美元的可能性。如果发生这种情况，TON/USDT 货币对可能会挑战 7.67 美元的阻力位。
The crucial support to watch on the downside is the moving averages. A break and close below this support will suggest that the pair may consolidate between $4.72 and $7.67 for a few days.
下行方面值得关注的关键支撑是移动平均线。突破并收盘低于该支撑位将表明该货币对可能会在 4.72 美元至 7.67 美元之间盘整几天。
TON/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
TON/USDT 4 小时图。来源：TradingView
Both moving averages are sloping up, and the RSI is near the overbought territory on the 4-hour chart, indicating that bulls have the upper hand. Buyers will try to strengthen their position further by pushing the price above $7.23.
两条均线均向上倾斜，4小时图上RSI位于超买区域附近，表明多头占据上风。买家将试图通过将价格推高至 7.23 美元以上来进一步巩固自己的地位。
On the contrary, the bears will attempt to pull the price below the 20-EMA. If they succeed, it will suggest that bears are aggressively defending the overhead resistance. The pair may then fall to the 50-SMA.
相反，空头将试图将价格拉至 20 均线下方。如果成功，则表明空头正在积极捍卫上方阻力位。随后该货币对可能会跌至 50 移动平均线。
Render Price Analysis
渲染价格分析
Render (RNDR) broke above the moving averages on May 5, signaling that the corrective phase may be ending.
Render (RNDR) 于 5 月 5 日突破移动平均线，表明调整阶段可能即将结束。
RNDR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
RNDR/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The bears are attempting to stall the recovery near the overhead resistance of $12, but the bulls have not given up much ground. This suggests that dips are being bought. The moving averages have completed a bullish crossover, and the RSI is in the positive zone, indicating that bulls are in control.
空头试图阻止 12 美元上方阻力位附近的复苏，但多头并未放弃太多阵地。这表明逢低买入。均线已完成看涨交叉，RSI 处于正值区域，表明多头处于掌控之中。
If the price turns up from the current level or rebounds off the 20-day EMA ($9.59), it will increase the likelihood of a rally above $12. The RNDR/USDT pair may then climb to $13.83. This optimistic view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages.
如果价格从当前水平回升或从 20 日均线（9.59 美元）反弹，将增加反弹至 12 美元上方的可能性。随后 RNDR/USDT 货币对可能会攀升至 13.83 美元。如果价格下跌并跌破移动平均线，这种乐观的看法将在短期内失效。
RNDR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
RNDR/USDT 4 小时图。来源：TradingView
The bears are trying to push the pair below the 20-EMA. If they succeed, the short-term bullish momentum will weaken, and the pair may fall to the 50-SMA. This level could attract buyers, but the bounce may face selling at the 20-EMA. If the 50-SMA cracks, the next stop is likely to be $9.50.
空头正试图将该货币对推至 20 均线下方。如果成功，短期看涨势头将减弱，该货币对可能跌至50均线。这一水平可能会吸引买家，但反弹可能会面临 20 日均线的抛售。如果 50 移动平均线破裂，下一站可能是 9.50 美元。
If buyers want to maintain their hold, they will need to defend the 20-EMA and drive the price above the $12 resistance.
如果买家想维持持有，他们需要守住 20 日均线并将价格推至 12 美元阻力位上方。
Pepe Price Analysis
佩佩价格分析
Pepe (PEPE) has steadily recovered in the past few days, indicating sustained buying at lower levels.
过去几天佩佩（PEPE）稳步回升，表明较低水平的持续买盘。
PEPE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
PEPE/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The price action has formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern that will complete on a break and close above $0.0000092. If buyers maintain the price above the neckline, the PEPE/USDT pair could resume its uptrend. The pattern target of the bullish setup is $0.0000145.
价格走势已形成反向头肩形态，突破后将完成并收于 0.0000092 美元上方。如果买家将价格维持在颈线上方，PEPE/USDT 货币对可能会恢复上升趋势。看涨设置的模式目标是 0.0000145 美元。
The moving averages are likely to act as strong support during pullbacks. If the price rebounds off the moving averages, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying the dips. The trend will turn negative in the near term if the $0.0000060 support breaks.
移动平均线可能在回调期间充当强有力的支撑。如果价格从移动平均线反弹，则表明市场情绪依然乐观，交易者逢低买入。如果 0.0000060 美元的支撑位被突破，短期内趋势将转为负面。
PEPE/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
PEPE/USDT 4 小时图。来源：TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows the pair is taking support at the moving averages, indicating that the bulls are fiercely defending the level. Buyers will need to overcome the overhead obstacle at $0.0000092 to gain the upper hand.
4小时图显示该货币对正在移动均线处获得支撑，表明多头正在激烈捍卫该水平。买家需要克服 0.0000092 美元的头顶障碍才能占据上风。
If the price turns lower and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that the bears are back in the game. The price could then slide to the critical support at $0.0000076, which is likely to witness strong buying by the bulls.
如果价格走低并跌破移动平均线，则表明空头重新参与游戏。然后价格可能会滑至 0.0000076 美元的关键支撑位，这可能会见证多头的强劲买盘。
Arweave Price Analysis
Arweave 价格分析
Arweave (AR) has been gradually climbing higher in the past few days, indicating solid demand from the bulls.
Arweave（AR）过去几天逐渐走高，表明多头的需求强劲。
AR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
AR/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($36) and the RSI above 61 suggest that the bulls have the edge. The AR/USDT pair could reach the overhead resistance of $47.51, an important level to watch out for. If bulls push the price above this resistance, the pair is likely to accelerate toward $52 and then $68.
不断上升的 20 日均线（36 美元）和 RSI 高于 61 表明多头占据优势。 AR/USDT 货币对可能会达到 47.51 美元的上方阻力位，这是一个值得关注的重要水平。如果多头将价格推高至该阻力位之上，该货币对可能会加速升至 52 美元，然后升至 68 美元。
This positive outlook will be invalidated in the near term if the pair turns down and breaks below the moving averages. That could pull the pair to $26.50.
如果该货币对下跌并跌破移动平均线，这种积极的前景将在短期内失效。这可能会将货币对拉至 26.50 美元。
AR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
AR/USDT 4 小时图。来源：TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is taking support at the 50-SMA during pullbacks. Buyers will try to drive the price to $45 and later to $47.51. Sellers are expected to defend this zone with vigor because if they fail in their endeavor, the bullish momentum could pick up.
4小时图显示，该货币对在回调期间在50-SMA处获得支撑。买家会尝试将价格推至 45 美元，然后再推至 47.51 美元。预计卖家将大力捍卫该区域，因为如果他们的努力失败，看涨势头可能会增强。
The 50-SMA is the support to watch out for on the downside. If this level breaks down, the pair could plummet to $36 and next to $34. The price may rebound off this zone but is likely to face selling at the 20-EMA.
50 移动平均线是下行方面值得关注的支撑位。如果该水平跌破，该货币对可能会暴跌至 36 美元和 34 美元附近。价格可能会从该区域反弹，但可能会在 20 日均线处面临抛售。
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。
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