Crypto Price Analysis 8-13 BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA, BCH, DOGE, and MKR
加密货币价格分析 8-13 BTC、ETH、SOL、ADA、BCH、DOGE 和 MKR
发布: 2024/08/13 18:03 阅读: 707
Bitcoin Market Outlook Remains Volatile
比特币市场前景仍然不稳定
Bitcoin (BTC) market sentiment remains volatile, with the wild price fluctuations experienced this month expected to continue. BTC experienced a dramatic collapse to a six-month low but quickly regained ground.
比特币（BTC）市场情绪仍然不稳定，本月经历的剧烈价格波动预计将持续下去。比特币经历了剧烈暴跌，跌至六个月低点，但很快又收复失地。
However, it now faces resistance in regaining its bullish momentum. Some analysts speculate that BTC could fall as low as $52,000 due to deteriorating US macroeconomic data and changes in the Bitcoin options market.
然而，它现在在恢复看涨势头方面面临阻力。一些分析师推测，由于美国宏观经济数据恶化以及比特币期权市场的变化，比特币可能跌至 52,000 美元。
Currently, Bitcoin is trading just above the $59,000 mark, having gained 1.25% over the past 24 hours.
目前，比特币交易价格略高于 59,000 美元大关，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 1.25%。
Bulls and Bears in a Standoff
牛市和熊市陷入僵局
As Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies navigate a volatile market, the stage is set for a clash between bulls and bears. Several factors could influence price movements and lead to surprises.
随着比特币（BTC）和其他主要加密货币在动荡的市场中航行，多头和空头之间的冲突已经准备就绪。有几个因素可能会影响价格走势并导致意外。
The release of macroeconomic data from the United States is among the most significant factors. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), due on August 14, will be closely watched amid concerns about inflation and the Federal Reserve's handling of global market instability.
美国宏观经济数据的发布是最重要的因素之一。由于对通胀和美联储处理全球市场不稳定问题的担忧，将于 8 月 14 日公布的消费者价格指数 (CPI) 将受到密切关注。
The CPI release follows the Producer Price Index by a day, and job data is expected towards the end of the week.
消费者物价指数 (CPI) 的发布晚于生产者价格指数 (PPI) 一天，就业数据预计将在本周末公布。
The timing of the CPI and PPI data could not be more critical for traders. Any unexpected variances in the numbers will further complicate the already challenging inflation scenario and add pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in September.
CPI 和 PPI 数据的发布时间对于交易者来说至关重要。数据中的任何意外变化都将使本已充满挑战的通胀形势进一步复杂化，并增加美联储在 9 月份降息的压力。
Economic Downturn Raises Risk for BTC
经济衰退增加了比特币的风险
Bitcoin (BTC) traders are concerned about the possibility of a retest of the $49,000 low, given the declining interest in leveraged BTC long positions and the risk of a correction in global stock markets.
鉴于杠杆式 BTC 多头头寸兴趣下降以及全球股市回调的风险，比特币 (BTC) 交易者担心重新测试 49,000 美元低点的可能性。
JPMorgan has also increased the probability of a US recession, citing weak labor market conditions and restrictive Fed policies. Fed Governor Michelle Browman stated on August 10 that the threat of inflation persists and the labor market remains weak, reducing the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
摩根大通还以疲软的劳动力市场状况和美联储的限制性政策为由，增加了美国经济衰退的可能性。美联储理事米歇尔·布劳曼8月10日表示，通胀威胁持续存在，劳动力市场依然疲软，降低了9月降息的可能性。
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis
比特币（BTC）价格分析
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading under the $60,000 threshold, failing to reclaim it despite a recovery on Monday. Bulls attempted to push the price above $60,000, but heightened volatility kept traders on edge.
比特币 (BTC) 目前交易价格低于 60,000 美元，尽管周一有所回升，但仍未能收复失地。多头试图将价格推高至 60,000 美元以上，但波动性加剧让交易员感到紧张。
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which bottomed at 17/100 on August 6, rebounded on August 9. However, it has since slipped back into the fear zone, reaching 25/100 on August 12. Currently, it stands at 31/100, indicating that bearish sentiment still dominates the market.
加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数于8月6日触底于17/100，并于8月9日反弹。但此后又回落至恐惧区域，于8月12日达到25/100。目前为31/100 ，表明看跌情绪仍主导市场。
Market observers question whether BTC can regain the $60,000 mark. The outlook remains uncertain for now. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have reported significantly lower inflows in recent days, hinting at investor hesitation. According to LookOnChain, institutions have also halted stablecoin purchases, further fueling negative sentiment.
市场观察人士质疑 BTC 能否重回 60,000 美元大关。目前前景仍不确定。最近几天，现货比特币 ETF 的资金流入大幅减少，暗示投资者犹豫不决。 LookOnChain 表示，机构也停止了稳定币购买，进一步加剧了负面情绪。
As seen in the price chart below, BTC dipped to a low of $49,351 last Monday but swiftly recovered despite heightened market volatility. Buyers managed to achieve an intraday high of $57,833 before being pushed down to $55,144.
如下图所示，BTC 上周一跌至 49,351 美元的低点，但尽管市场波动加剧，但仍迅速反弹。买家设法达到盘中高点 57,833 美元，然后被压低至 55,144 美元。
BTC made a remarkable recovery on Thursday as markets turned bullish, rising by 12% to $61,763. However, it failed to break above the 200-day SMA, which acted as a dynamic resistance level. Consequently, the price trend reversed on Friday, dropping to $60,932, although buyers managed to keep it above $60,000.
随着市场转为看涨，比特币周四显着反弹，上涨 12% 至 61,763 美元。然而，它未能突破200日移动平均线，该移动平均线是动态阻力位。因此，周五价格趋势发生逆转，跌至 60,932 美元，尽管买家设法将其保持在 60,000 美元以上。
They lost the level on Sunday after BTC plummeted by almost 4% to $58,775. The market's volatility was evident on Monday as BTC surged to an intraday high of $60,749 and a low of $57,724. BTC ultimately settled at $59,410, an increase of 1.08%.
在 BTC 暴跌近 4% 至 58,775 美元后，他们在周日失去了这一水平。周一市场波动明显，BTC 飙升至盘中高点 60,749 美元和低点 57,724 美元。 BTC最终收于59,410美元，上涨1.08%。
However, the $60,000 mark proved insurmountable under current conditions, with BTC marginally down during the ongoing session. If BTC can consolidate above $59,000, buyers may attempt to break above the $60,000 level. A strong breakout above $60,000 and $62,000 could signal a potential trend reversal.
然而，在当前情况下，60,000 美元大关被证明是难以逾越的，比特币在当前交易时段小幅下跌。如果 BTC 能够在 59,000 美元上方盘整，买家可能会尝试突破 60,000 美元的水平。强劲突破 60,000 美元和 62,000 美元可能预示着潜在的趋势逆转。
Nevertheless, BTC's current bearish trend seems strong, facing stubborn resistance at $60,000 and $62,000. A break below current levels could see BTC fall below $57,000. A drop below this level could accelerate BTC's decline towards $50,000 and a retest of its $49,000 support level.
尽管如此，BTC 目前的看跌趋势似乎很强劲，面临 60,000 美元和 62,000 美元的顽固阻力。跌破当前水平可能导致 BTC 跌破 57,000 美元。跌破该水平可能会加速 BTC 跌向 50,000 美元，并重新测试 49,000 美元的支撑位。
Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis
以太坊（ETH）价格分析
Ethereum (ETH) is struggling to break above the $2,700-$2,800 zone, with sellers fiercely defending upper levels. However, the price has found support around the $2,500 mark, with bulls preventing ETH from slipping below this level.
以太坊 (ETH) 正在努力突破 2,700-2,800 美元区域，卖家激烈捍卫较高水平。然而，价格在 2,500 美元大关附近找到了支撑，多头阻止 ETH 跌破该水平。
After a significant drop that saw ETH hit a low of $2,131 on August 5, it rebounded strongly, climbing above $2,500 on Thursday after a surge of nearly 15%, ultimately settling at $2,684. The rally lost momentum as markets turned bearish on Friday.
ETH 在 8 月 5 日大幅下跌至 2,131 美元低点后，强劲反弹，在飙升近 15% 后于周四攀升至 2,500 美元上方，最终收于 2,684 美元。随着周五市场转为看跌，涨势失去了动力。
Consequently, ETH dropped by over 3% to $2,601. The weekend remained bearish, with ETH experiencing a marginal increase on Saturday before falling by 2.09% to end the weekend at $2,556.
因此，ETH 下跌超过 3%，至 2,601 美元。周末依然看跌，ETH 周六小幅上涨，随后下跌 2.09%，周末收于 2,556 美元。
With the market's recovery on Monday, ETH gained 6.52%, pushing the price above $2,700 and settling at $2,723. However, due to sellers
随着周一市场的复苏，ETH 上涨 6.52%，推动价格突破 2,700 美元，最终收于 2,723 美元。但由于卖家
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