Latest Market Overview 1st May: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, DOGE, TON, ADA, AVAX, SHIB
5 月 1 日最新市场概览：BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、DOGE、TON、ADA、AVAX、SHIB
发布: 2024/05/02 13:09 阅读: 756
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The Bitcoin market decended to $56,500, which shattered bullish traders’ optimism and exerted downward pressure on altcoin prices. However, amidst this downturn, are there opportunities for long-term investors to capitalise?
On May 1st, Bitcoin breached the critical $60,000 support level, weakening the prevailing uptrend. While this decline has clouded Bitcoin’s immediate outlook, analysts maintain a positive stance on its long-term prospects.
During bearish market conditions, traders often amplify negative news, causing a dent in investor sentiment. The lacklustre response to the debut of Hong Kong spot Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on April 30 and continued outflows from US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs for the fifth consecutive day further exacerbated concerns.
比特币市场跌至 56,500 美元，这粉碎了看涨交易者的乐观情绪，并对山寨币价格造成下行压力。然而，在这种低迷时期，长期投资者还有机会获利吗？5月1日，比特币突破了6万美元的关键支撑位，削弱了当前的上升趋势。虽然这种下跌给比特币的近期前景蒙上阴影，但分析师对其长期前景保持积极立场。在看跌的市场条件下，交易员经常放大负面消息，导致投资者情绪受到打击。 4 月 30 日香港现货比特币和以太币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 上市反应平淡，美国现货比特币 ETF 连续第五天资金持续流出，进一步加剧了担忧。
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Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360
加密货币市场数据每日查看。来源：Coin360
Every bull phase witnesses sharp corrections, which shake out the weak hands. The lower levels allow long-term investors to add to their portfolios. However, waiting for the price to confirm a bottom is better before initiating large bets.
Could Bitcoin and the altcoins start a sharp recovery, trapping the aggressive bears? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis
The Bitcoin market consolidation resolved to the downside on May 1, indicating that the bears have overpowered the bulls.
每个牛市阶段都会出现剧烈的调整，从而摆脱弱手。较低的水平允许长期投资者增加他们的投资组合。然而，在开始大笔押注之前，等待价格确认底部是更好的选择。比特币和山寨币能否开始急剧复苏，困住激进的空头？让我们分析一下十大加密货币的图表来找出答案。 比特币 (BTC) 市场分析 5 月 1 日，比特币市场盘整转向下行，表明空头压倒了多头。
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BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
BTC/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
Buyers will attempt to push the price back above $59,600, but the bears will likely have other plans. If the price turns down from $59,600, it will suggest that the bears have flipped the level into resistance. That will enhance the prospects of a drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
This negative view will be invalidated soon if the price turns up and breaks above the 50-day simple moving average ($66,596).
Ether (ETH) Market Analysis
Ether broke below the 20-day exponential moving average ($3,170) and the $3,056 support on April 30, signalling that the bears are in command.
买家将试图将价格推回到 59,600 美元以上，但空头可能会有其他计划。如果价格从 59,600 美元下跌，则表明空头已将该水平转变为阻力位。这将增强跌至 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元的前景。如果价格上涨并突破 50 天简单移动平均线（66,596 美元），这种负面观点很快就会失效。 以太 (ETH) 市场分析以太4 月 30 日跌破 20 日指数移动平均线（3,170 美元）和 3,056 美元支撑位，表明空头占据主导地位。
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ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
ETH/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The selling continued on May 1, and the bears tugged the price below the solid support at $2,852. If bears sustain the price below $2,852, the ETH/USDT pair could move downward to $2,700 and subsequently to $2,400.
Time is running out for the Bulls. They must quickly push the price back above the moving averages to prevent the decline. If they do that, it will indicate that the fall below $2,850 may have been a fake breakdown.
BNB Market Analysis
The long tail on BNB’s April 30 candlestick shows that the bulls purchased at lower levels but could not sustain the momentum.
5 月 1 日，抛售仍在继续，空头将价格拉低至 2,852 美元的坚实支撑位以下。如果空头将价格维持在 2,852 美元以下，则 ETH/USDT 货币对可能会下跌至 2,700 美元，随后跌至 2,400 美元。多头的时间已经不多了。他们必须迅速将价格推回到移动平均线上方以防止下跌。如果他们这样做，则表明跌破 2,850 美元可能是假崩溃。 BNB 市场分析 BNB 4 月 30 日烛台上的长尾表明多头在较低水平买入，但无法维持势头。
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BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
BNB/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The bears continued selling and yanked the price below the moving averages on May 1. The BNB/USDT pair could drop to the critical support at $495. This is an essential support for the bulls to defend because a break below $495 could sink the pair to $460 and later to $400.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price bounces off $495 and rises above the moving averages, it will suggest that the range-bound action may continue for some more time. The bulls will have to overcome the obstacle at $635 to start the next leg of the uptrend.
Solana (SOL) Price Analysis
The failure of the bulls to start a rebound of $126 in Solana shows that the bears remain in control.
空头继续抛售，并将价格拉至 5 月 1 日移动平均线以下。BNB/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 495 美元的关键支撑位。这是多头防御的重要支撑，因为跌破 495 美元可能会使该货币对跌至 460 美元，然后跌至 400 美元。与此假设相反，如果价格从 495 美元反弹并升至移动平均线之上，则表明该区间绑定行动可能会持续一段时间。多头必须克服 635 美元的障碍才能开始下一阶段的上升趋势。 Solana (SOL) 价格分析多头未能开始 Solana 126 美元的反弹，表明空头仍处于控制之中。
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SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
SOL/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
There is minor support at $116, but if this level cracks, the selling could accelerate, and the SOL/USDT pair could plunge to $100. The greater the fall, the longer it will take for the next leg of the uptrend to begin.
Bulls must quickly push the price above the 20-day EMA ($144) if they want to make a comeback. That may trap the aggressive bears, resulting in a short squeeze. The pair may then ascend toward the 50-day SMA ($166).
XRP Price Analysis
XRP tried to start a relief rally from the psychological level of $0.50 on April 29, but the bulls could not maintain the higher levels.
116 美元有小支撑，但如果突破该水平，抛售可能会加速，SOL/USDT 货币对可能会暴跌至 100 美元。跌幅越大，下一阶段上升趋势开始所需的时间就越长。如果多头想要卷土重来，他们必须迅速将价格推高至 20 日均线（144 美元）上方。这可能会困住激进的空头，导致轧空。然后该货币对可能会升至 50 日移动平均线（166 美元）。 XRP 价格分析 XRP 试图在 4 月 29 日从 0.50 美元的心理水平开始反弹，但多头无法维持较高水平。
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XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
XRP/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
Sustained selling by the bears pulled the price below $0.50, opening the doors for a retest of the solid support at $0.46. The bulls are expected to fiercely defend the zone between $0.46 and $0.41 because a break below it may start a downtrend.
Alternatively, if the price bounces off $0.46 and rises above the 50-day SMA ($0.57), it will suggest that the bears are losing their grip. The XRP/USDT pair may extend its stay inside the $0.41 to $0.74 range for several more days.
Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Analysis
Dogecoin’s fall picked up momentum after the price broke below the symmetrical triangle pattern.
空头的持续抛售将价格拉低至 0.50 美元以下，为重新测试 0.46 美元的坚实支撑位打开了大门。预计多头将大力捍卫 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元之间的区域，因为跌破该区域可能会开始下降趋势。或者，如果价格从 0.46 美元反弹并升至 50 日移动平均线（0.57 美元）上方，则表明空头正在失去控制力。 XRP/USDT 货币对可能会在 0.41 美元至 0.74 美元的区间内再维持几天。 狗狗币 (DOGE) 价格分析在价格跌破对称三角形模式后，狗狗币的下跌势头加快。
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DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
DOGE/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The bears have pulled the price below the neckline of the bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. If the price remains below $0.12, the selling could intensify, and the DOGE/USDT pair may slide to $0.10 and eventually to $0.08. On the contrary, if the price rises above the neckline, it will indicate solid buying at lower levels. The bulls will gain strength on a break above the 20-day EMA ($0.15), and a potential trend change will be signalled above the downtrend line.
Toncoin (TON) Price Analysis
Toncoin broke below the 50-day SMA ($5.32) on April 30, indicating that the bears maintain their pressure.
空头已将价格拉至看跌头肩形态的颈线以下。如果价格保持在 0.12 美元以下，抛售可能会加剧，DOGE/USDT 货币对可能会滑至 0.10 美元，最终跌至 0.08 美元。相反，如果价格升至颈线之上，则表明较低水平的买盘强劲。突破 20 日均线（0.15 美元）后，多头将获得力量，下降趋势线上方将发出潜在趋势变化的信号。 Toncoin (TON) 价格分析 Toncoin 于 4 月 30 日跌破 50 日均线（5.32 美元） ，表明空头维持压力。
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TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
TON/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The bulls will likely defend the zone between the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $4.90 and the 61.8% retracement level of $4.25. Buyers must kick the price above the 20-day EMA ($5.58) to signal that the correction may be over. If that happens, the TON/USDT pair may attempt a rally to $6.24. Instead, if the price continues lower and breaks below $4.25, it will signal that the uptrend has ended. That increases the risk of a drop to $3.32.
Cardano (ADA) Price Analysis
Cardano is trying to start a recovery from $0.42, but the weak rebound suggests a lack of demand from the bulls.
多头可能会捍卫 4.90 美元的 50% 斐波那契回撤位和 4.25 美元的 61.8% 回撤位之间的区域。买家必须将价格踢至 20 日均线（5.58 美元）上方，以表明调整可能已经结束。如果发生这种情况，TON/USDT 货币对可能会尝试反弹至 6.24 美元。相反，如果价格继续走低并跌破 4.25 美元，则表明上升趋势已经结束。这增加了跌至 3.32 美元的风险。卡尔达诺 (ADA) 价格分析卡尔达诺正试图从 0.42 美元开始复苏，但疲软的反弹表明多头缺乏需求。
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ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
ADA/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.48) and the RSI near the oversold zone suggest that the path of least resistance is to the downside. If the price skids below $0.42, the ADA/USDT pair could retest $0.40 support. The bulls will likely defend the level with all their might because a break below it may extend the decline to $0.35. The 20-day EMA remains the critical overhead resistance that needs to be crossed to suggest that the bears may be losing their grip. If that happens, the pair may attempt a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.57).
Avalanche (AVAX) Price Analysis
Buyers tried to push Avalanche back above the uptrend line on April 29, but the bears did not relent. This shows that the bears are trying to flip the uptrend line into resistance.
向下倾斜的 20 日均线（0.48 美元）和超卖区域附近的 RSI 表明阻力最小的路径是下行。如果价格跌破 0.42 美元，ADA/USDT 货币对可能会重新测试 0.40 美元的支撑位。多头可能会竭尽全力捍卫该水平，因为跌破该水平可能会将跌幅扩大至 0.35 美元。 20 日均线仍然是关键的上方阻力位，需要突破该阻力位才能表明空头可能会失去控制。如果发生这种情况，该货币对可能会尝试反弹至 50 日移动平均线（0.57 美元）。 Avalanche (AVAX) 价格分析 4 月 29 日，买家试图将 Avalanche 推回到上升趋势线上方，但空头并没有松懈。这表明空头正试图将上升趋势线转变为阻力位。
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AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
AVAX/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
There is a minor support at $31.92. But if this level gives way, the AVAX/USDT pair could plummet to $29.24. The zone between $27.24 and $29.24 may witness aggressive buying by the bulls. Buyers will mustr the downtrend line on the way up if they want to signal a comeback. The pair could then rise to $42 and, after that, to the 50-day SMA ($45.68). This level may attract selling by the bears.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Analysis
The bulls tried to push Shiba Inu above the 20-day EMA ($0.000024) on April 30, but the bears held their ground.
31.92 美元有一个小支撑。但如果这个水平失控，AVAX/USDT 货币对可能会暴跌至 29.24 美元。 27.24 美元至 29.24 美元之间的区域可能会出现多头的激进买盘。如果买家想要发出反弹的信号，他们将必须在上涨过程中抓住下降趋势线。该货币对随后可能升至 42 美元，之后升至 50 日移动平均线（45.68 美元）。该水平可能会吸引空头的抛售。 柴犬 (SHIB) 价格分析 4 月 30 日，多头试图将柴犬推升至 20 日均线（0.000024 美元）之上，但空头坚守阵地。
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SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
SHIB/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The SHIB/USDT pair could slide to $0.000020, which is likely to act as a strong support. Any rebound off this level is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down sharply from
SHIB/USDT 货币对可能会下滑至 0.000020 美元，这可能会成为强有力的支撑。任何从该水平反弹预计都将面临 20 日均线的抛售。如果价格从
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