Price analysis 5/3: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, DOGE, TON, ADA, AVAX, SHIB
价格分析5/3：BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、DOGE、TON、ADA、AVAX、SHIB
发布: 2024/05/04 03:49 阅读: 477
Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are attempting a resurgence by pushing the price above the psychologically crucial level of $60,000. Veteran trader Peter Brandt stated in a recent X post that if Bitcoin holds the most recent lows and moves higher, it will be considered a “very common bull market continuation chart construction.”
比特币 (BTC) 多头正试图通过将价格推高至 60,000 美元的关键心理水平之上来复兴。资深交易员 Peter Brandt 在最近的 X 帖子中表示，如果比特币保持最近的低点并走高，则将被视为“非常常见的牛市延续图表结构”。
Analysts are bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects but do not anticipate an immediate uptrend. According to the Bitfinex Alpha market report, Bitcoin could remain range-bound for one to two months “with swings of $10,000 on either side.”
分析师看好比特币的长期前景，但预计不会立即出现上涨趋势。根据 Bitfinex Alpha 市场报告，比特币可能会在一到两个月内保持区间波动，“两边波动幅度为 10,000 美元”。
Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360
加密货币市场数据每日查看。来源：Coin360
Traders are likely to monitor spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds closely. Farside Investors data indicates that Bitcoin ETFs experienced outflows of $563 million on May 1. Sentiment is expected to improve after Bitcoin ETFs witness net inflows for several consecutive days. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes believes the sell-off has ended, and the crypto markets may move higher.
交易员可能会密切关注现货比特币交易所交易基金。 Farside Investors 数据显示，5 月 1 日，比特币 ETF 流出 5.63 亿美元。在比特币 ETF 连续几天出现净流入后，市场情绪预计将有所改善。 BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 认为抛售已经结束，加密货币市场可能会走高。
What key resistance levels may hinder the recovery? Let's analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to ascertain.
哪些关键阻力位可能会阻碍复苏？让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来确定。
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin finds support within the zone between the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $58,017 and the 61.8% retracement level of $54,298.
比特币价格分析比特币在 50% 斐波那契回撤位 58,017 美元和 61.8% 回撤位 54,298 美元之间的区域内找到支撑。
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
BTC/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The bulls propelled the price back above the breakdown level of $59,600 on May 3, suggesting that the recent decline may have been a bear trap. However, the bears are unlikely to surrender easily. They will attempt to halt the recovery rally at the 20-day exponential moving average ($63,366) and subsequently at the 50-day simple moving average ($66,151).
5 月 3 日，多头将价格推升至 59,600 美元的突破水平之上，这表明近期的下跌可能是一个空头陷阱。然而，空头不太可能轻易投降。他们将试图在 20 天指数移动平均线（63,366 美元）和随后的 50 天简单移动平均线（66,151 美元）处阻止复苏反弹。
If the price reverses from the moving averages, it will imply that sentiment remains negative, and traders are profiting from rallies. The bears will then make another attempt to drive the BTC/USDT pair below $56,500. If successful, the pair may fall to $54,298.
如果价格从移动平均线反转，则意味着市场情绪仍然消极，交易者正在从反弹中获利。然后，空头将再次尝试将 BTC/USDT 货币对推至 56,500 美元以下。如果成功，该货币对可能会跌至 54,298 美元。
Conversely, a breakout above the 50-day SMA will indicate that the pair may extend its stay within the range for a while longer.
相反，突破 50 日移动平均线将表明该货币对可能会在该区间内停留一段时间。
Ether price analysis
Ether (ETH) dipped below the $2,850 support on May 1, but the long tail on the candlestick demonstrates solid demand at lower levels.
以太坊价格分析 以太坊 (ETH) 于 5 月 1 日跌破 2,850 美元支撑位，但烛台上的长尾表明较低水平的需求强劲。
ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
ETH/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The descending moving averages and the RSI below 45 suggest that the bears hold a slight advantage. If the price declines from the current level or the 20-day EMA ($3,152), the bears will attempt to pull the ETH/USDT pair towards the support line of the descending channel pattern.
下降的移动平均线和低于 45 的 RSI 表明空头占据轻微优势。如果价格从当前水平或 20 日均线（3,152 美元）下跌，空头将尝试将 ETH/USDT 货币对拉向下降通道模式的支撑线。
Alternatively, if the price rises above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that selling pressure may be easing. The bulls will have lifted the pair above the resistance line, signaling the end of the downtrend.
或者，如果价格升至 20 日均线上方，则表明抛售压力可能正在缓解。多头将将该货币对提升至阻力线上方，标志着下降趋势的结束。
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) has been oscillating within the wide range between $495 and $635 for several days, reflecting indecision between the bulls and bears.
BNB价格分析BNB（BNB）连续几天在495美元至635美元之间的宽幅区间内波动，反映出多头和空头之间犹豫不决。
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
BNB/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
If the price remains below the moving averages, the BNB/USDT pair could decline to the strong support at $495. Buyers are likely to purchase at this level and maintain the range. However, if the bears prevail, the pair could initiate a downtrend to $460 and subsequently to $400.
如果价格仍低于移动平均线，BNB/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 495 美元的强劲支撑位。买家可能会在这个水平上购买并维持这个范围。然而，如果空头占上风，该货币对可能会开始下跌至 460 美元，随后跌至 400 美元。
Alternatively, if the price ascends above the moving averages, the pair could rise to the overhead resistance of $635. This is a significant resistance level for the bears to defend because a breakout above it could propel the pair to $692.
或者，如果价格升至移动平均线之上，该货币对可能会升至 635 美元的上方阻力位。对于空头来说，这是一个重要的阻力位，因为突破该阻力位可能会推动该货币对上涨至 692 美元。
Solana price analysis
The bears drove Solana (SOL) below the $126 support but failed to sustain the lower levels, indicating buying by the bulls.
Solana 价格分析 空头将 Solana (SOL) 推低至 126 美元支撑位以下，但未能维持较低水平，表明多头正在买入。
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
SOL/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The SOL/USDT pair has reached the 20-day EMA ($145), a critical level to monitor. If buyers overcome this barrier, the pair may climb toward the overhead resistance of $162. This level may attract selling from the bears.
SOL/USDT 货币对已达到 20 日均线（145 美元），这是一个需要监控的关键水平。如果买家克服这一障碍，该货币对可能会攀升至 162 美元的上方阻力位。该水平可能会吸引空头的抛售。
The key support to watch on the downside is $126. If the price falls from the 20-day EMA and breaks below $126, it will signal the beginning of the next leg of the downward movement. The pair may then plunge to $100.
下行方面值得关注的关键支撑位是 126 美元。如果价格从 20 日均线跌破并跌破 126 美元，则将标志着下一阶段下跌趋势的开始。随后该货币对可能会暴跌至 100 美元。
XRP price analysis
XRP’s (XRP) recovery rally has reached the 20-day EMA ($0.53), a crucial level for the bears to defend if they wish to maintain control.
XRP 价格分析XRP (XRP) 的复苏反弹已达到 20 日均线（0.53 美元），如果空头希望保持控制，这是他们必须捍卫的关键水平。
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
XRP/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
If the price reverses from the 20-day EMA, the sellers will once again attempt to pull the XRP/USDT pair to the strong support zone between $0.46 and $0.41. Buyers are expected to aggressively defend this zone.
如果价格从 20 日均线反转，卖家将再次尝试将 XRP/USDT 货币对拉至 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元之间的强支撑区域。预计买家将积极捍卫该区域。
The first sign of strength will be a breakout and close above the 20-day EMA. If this hurdle is cleared, the pair could reach $0.57, which may again pose a strong challenge. A breakout above this resistance could open the doors for a potential rise to $0.62.
强势的第一个迹象将是突破并收于 20 日均线之上。如果这一障碍被清除，该货币对可能会达到 0.57 美元，这可能会再次构成强大的挑战。突破该阻力位可能为价格上涨至 0.62 美元打开大门。
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the $0.12 support on May 1, suggesting that the bulls are attempting to defend the level.
狗狗币价格分析狗狗币 (DOGE) 于 5 月 1 日从 0.12 美元支撑位反弹，表明多头正试图捍卫该水平。
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
DOGE/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
Buyers will aim to push the price to the overhead zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.15) and the downtrend line. Sellers are expected to vigorously defend this zone.
买家的目标是将价格推至 20 日均线（0.15 美元）和下降趋势线之间的上方区域。预计卖家将积极捍卫这一区域。
If the price reverses from this zone, the bears will again attempt to drive the DOGE/USDT pair below the neckline near $0.12. If they succeed, the pair will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. This may initiate a downtrend to $0.10 and eventually to $0.08.
如果价格从该区域反转，空头将再次尝试将 DOGE/USDT 货币对推至颈线下方 0.12 美元附近。如果成功，该货币对将完成看跌的头肩形态。这可能会引发跌至 0.10 美元并最终跌至 0.08 美元的下跌趋势。
This negative outlook will be invalidated in the near term if the bulls propel the price above the downtrend line.
如果多头推动价格突破下降趋势线，这种负面前景将在短期内失效。
Toncoin price analysis
Toncoin (TON) finds support within the zone between the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $4.90 and the 61.8% retracement level of $4.25.
Toncoin 价格分析Toncoin (TON) 在 4.90 美元的 50% 斐波那契回撤位和 4.25 美元的 61.8% 回撤位之间的区域内找到支撑。
TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
TON/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The recovery rally has reached the moving averages, which is an important level to observe. If the price reverses from the moving averages, the bears will again attempt to drive the TON/USDT pair below $4.25.
复苏反弹已达到移动平均线，这是一个值得观察的重要水平。如果价格从移动平均线反转，空头将再次试图将 TON/USDT 货币对推至 4.25 美元以下。
Alternatively, if buyers overcome the obstacle at the 20-day EMA ($5.53), it will suggest the beginning of a more robust recovery. The pair may then ascend to $6.35, where the bears may mount strong resistance.
或者，如果买家克服了 20 日均线（5.53 美元）的障碍，则将表明更强劲的复苏开始。此后该货币对可能会升至 6.35 美元，空头可能会在此遇到强劲阻力。
Related: Bitcoin and Ether options worth $2.4B set to expire May 3, max BTC pain at $61K
相关：价值 2.4B 美元的比特币和以太坊期权将于 5 月 3 日到期，BTC 最大痛苦为 61K 美元
Cardano price analysis
The bulls are attempting to keep Cardano (ADA) above the breakdown level of $0.46, but the bears are likely to put up an intense fight.
卡尔达诺价格分析多头试图将卡尔达诺（ADA）保持在 0.46 美元的崩溃水平之上，但空头可能会进行激烈的战斗。
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
ADA/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The zone between $0.46 and the 20-day EMA ($0.48) is likely to witness strong selling from the bears. If the price falls sharply from this zone and breaks below $0.40, the ADA/USDT pair may initiate the next leg of the downtrend to $0.35.
0.46 美元和 20 日均线（0.48 美元）之间的区域可能会出现空头的强劲抛售。如果价格从该区域大幅下跌并跌破 0.40 美元，则 ADA/USDT 货币对可能会启动下一阶段的下跌趋势至 0.35 美元。
Contrary to this assumption, if buyers drive the price above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that selling pressure is diminishing. The pair may then ascend to $0.52 and subsequently to $0.57, which may act as a strong hurdle.
与这一假设相反，如果买家将价格推高至 20 日均线上方，则表明抛售压力正在减弱。然后该货币对可能会升至 0.52 美元，随后升至 0.57 美元，这可能会成为一个强大的障碍。
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche’s (AVAX) price action over the past few days has formed a range of $29 on the downside and $40 on the upside.
Avalanche 价格分析 Avalanche (AVAX) 过去几天的价格走势已经形成了下行 29 美元和上行 40 美元的区间。
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
AVAX/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The descending 20-day EMA ($36.56) and the RSI near 42 suggest that the bears have the upper hand. If the price falls from the 20-day EMA, the bears will make another attempt to drive the AVAX/USDT pair below $29. If they manage to do so, the next leg of the downtrend to $27.24 may commence.
下降的 20 日均线（36.56 美元）和 RSI 接近 42 表明空头占据上风。如果价格从 20 日均线下跌，空头将再次尝试将 AVAX/USDT 货币对推低至 29 美元以下。如果他们设法做到这一点，则可能会开始下一个下跌趋势至 27.24 美元。
Conversely, if buyers push the price above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate buying at lower levels. The pair may then rise to $40. A breakout and close above this level will suggest that the bulls are attempting a comeback.
相反，如果买家将价格推高至 20 日均线上方，则表明在较低水平买入。随后该货币对可能会升至 40 美元。突破并收于该水平上方将表明多头正在尝试卷土重来。
Shiba Inu price analysis
The long tail on Shiba Inu’s (SHIB) May 1 candlestick shows that the bulls are trying to defend the $0.000020 level.
柴犬价格分析 柴犬 (SHIB) 5 月 1 日烛台上的长尾表明多头正试图捍卫 0.000020 美元的水平。
SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
SHIB/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The recovery attempt is likely to face selling at the moving averages. If the price falls sharply from the moving averages, it will increase the likelihood of a drop below $0.000020. If this
复苏尝试可能会面临移动平均线的抛售。如果价格从移动平均线大幅下跌，则会增加跌破 0.000020 美元的可能性。如果这
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