Price analysis 4/29: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, TON, DOGE, ADA
价格分析 4/29：SPX、DXY、BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、TON、DOGE、ADA
发布: 2024/04/30 01:46 阅读: 879
Bitcoin (BTC) has declined approximately 12% in April, and if the bearish trend persists, it will be the worst-performing month since November 2022, as per data from CoinGlass. Bitcoin bulls may continue to face challenges in May, as the month has historically produced negative monthly closes for the past three years.
The current uncertainty in Bitcoin's price has resulted in net outflows from the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds for three consecutive days from April 24, according to Farside Investors data. This suggests that traders are cautious and are waiting for Bitcoin to resume its uptrend before buying again.
Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360
根据 CoinGlass 的数据，比特币 (BTC) 4 月份下跌了约 12%，如果看跌趋势持续下去，这将是 2022 年 11 月以来表现最差的一个月。比特币多头可能会在5月份继续面临挑战，因为该月份在过去三年中一直出现月度收盘负数。当前比特币价格的不确定性导致现货比特币交易所交易基金从4月份开始连续三天出现净流出据 Farside Investors 数据显示，24 日。这表明交易者持谨慎态度，正在等待比特币恢复上升趋势，然后再再次购买。每日加密货币市场表现。来源：Coin360
While Bitcoin searches for direction, select altcoins may begin to perform. Analysts from crypto analytics platform Santiment have observed that gas fees on the Ethereum network have fallen to a six-month low, indicating a "lack of demand and strain on the network." This suggests a market bottom, which could trigger a potential turnaround in Ether (ETH) and associated altcoins "sooner than many may expect."
What crucial support levels should be monitored for Bitcoin and altcoins? Let's analyze the charts to find out.
S&P 500 Index price analysis
The S&P 500 Index has been trading below the moving averages for the past few days, but the bears have not capitalized on this advantage. This indicates solid buying at lower levels.
SPX daily chart. Source: TradingView
当比特币寻找方向时，某些山寨币可能会开始表现。加密分析平台 Santiment 的分析师观察到，以太坊网络的 Gas 费用已降至六个月低点，表明“网络需求不足且压力不足”。这表明市场已经触底，这可能会引发以太坊（ETH）和相关山寨币的潜在转变，“比许多人预期的要早”。应该监控比特币和山寨币的哪些关键支撑位？让我们分析图表来找出答案。 标准普尔 500 指数价格分析 过去几天标准普尔 500 指数一直低于移动平均线，但空头并没有利用这一优势。这表明较低水平的强劲买盘。 SPX 日线图。来源：TradingView
The index has reached the moving averages, a critical level to watch. If the price rises above the moving averages, the index could rally to 5,200 and then to the all-time high at 5,265. The bears are expected to defend this level vigorously.
Conversely, if the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, it will suggest that the bears are attempting to take control. The index may drop to 4,990 and then to 4,953. A break below this support could drag the price to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 4,821.
U.S. Dollar Index price analysis
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been rising within an ascending channel pattern for the past few days, indicating an upward trend.
DXY daily chart. Source: TradingView
该指数已达到移动平均线，这是一个值得关注的关键水平。如果价格升至移动平均线之上，该指数可能会上涨至 5,200 点，然后升至 5,265 点的历史高点。预计空头将大力捍卫这一水平。相反，如果价格从移动平均线大幅下跌，则表明空头正试图控制局面。该指数可能会跌至 4,990，然后跌至 4,953。跌破该支撑位可能会将价格拖至 38.2% 斐波那契回撤位 4,821.U.S.美元指数价格分析 过去几天美元指数（DXY）一直在上升通道模式内上涨，显示出上升趋势。 DXY 日线图。来源：TradingView
The price turned down from the channel's resistance line on April 17, and the index fell to the 20-day exponential moving average ($105). The price rebounded off the 20-day EMA on April 26, but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This indicates selling on relief rallies.
If the 20-day EMA gives way, it will shift the short-term advantage in favor of the bears. The index may continue to trade within the channel for a few more days. The index could slide to the 50-day simple moving average (104) and then to the support line.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin has been gradually declining towards the critical support at $59,600, where the bulls are likely to mount a strong defense.
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
价格从 4 月 17 日的通道阻力线回落，指数跌至 20 日指数移动平均线（105 美元）。 4 月 26 日，价格从 20 日均线反弹，但多头未能维持较高水平。这表明在缓解反弹时抛售。如果 20 日均线屈服，短期优势将转向空头。该指数可能会继续在该通道内交易几天。该指数可能会滑向 50 日简单移动平均线 (104)，然后滑向支撑线。 比特币价格分析 比特币已逐渐向 59,600 美元的关键支撑位下滑，多头可能会在此进行强有力的防御。 BTC/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
If the price turns up sharply from $59,600, it will indicate that the bulls are not willing to give up without a fight. The BTC/USDT pair could rise to the 20-day EMA ($64,897) and later to the 50-day SMA ($67,091). A break above this level will clear the path for a possible retest of $73,777.
This optimistic view could be negated in the near term if the price continues lower and breaks below $59,600. That could accelerate selling and pull the pair towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
Ether price analysis
Ether rose above the 20-day EMA ($3,214) on April 27, but the bulls could not overcome the barrier at the 50-day SMA ($3,397).
ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
如果价格从 59,600 美元大幅上涨，则表明多头不愿不战而屈人之兵。 BTC/USDT 货币对可能会升至 20 日均线（64,897 美元），然后升至 50 日均线（67,091 美元）。突破该水平将为可能重新测试 73,777 美元扫清道路。如果价格继续走低并跌破 59,600 美元，这种乐观观点可能会在短期内被否定。这可能会加速抛售，并将该货币对拉向 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元。 以太币价格分析 4 月 27 日，以太币升至 20 日均线（3,214 美元）上方，但多头无法克服 50 日均线的障碍（ 3,397 美元）。 ETH/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The price turned down from the 50-day SMA on April 28, indicating that the bears are selling on every minor relief rally. The ETH/USDT pair could drop to $3,056. If the price rebounds off this level with strength, it will indicate that the bulls are trying to flip $3,056 into support. If that happens, the bulls will make another attempt to drive the price above the 50-day SMA.
Alternatively, if the price breaks below $3,056, it will suggest that the bears remain in charge. The pair may then slump to the pivotal support at $2,850.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) has dipped to the moving averages, a crucial support for the bulls to defend if they want to maintain their advantage.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
价格从 4 月 28 日的 50 日均线下跌，表明空头在每次小幅缓解反弹时卖出。 ETH/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 3,056 美元。如果价格从该水平强劲反弹，则表明多头正试图将 3,056 美元推向支撑位。如果发生这种情况，多头将再次尝试将价格推至 50 日移动平均线之上。或者，如果价格跌破 3,056 美元，则表明空头仍将占据主导地位。随后该货币对可能会跌至关键支撑位 2,850 美元。 BNB 价格分析 BNB (BNB) 已跌至移动平均线，这是多头想要保持优势而需要捍卫的关键支撑位。 BNB/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
If the price skids below the moving averages, it will suggest that the bears are fiercely defending the overhead resistance at $635. The BNB/USDT pair could then descend to the strong support at $495.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, it will suggest that the sentiment has turned positive, and traders are buying on dips. That will enhance the prospects of a rally above $635. The pair may then climb to $692.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) continued lower and is on track to dip to the vital support at $126. Buyers are expected to aggressively defend this level.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
如果价格跌破移动平均线，则表明空头正在激烈捍卫 635 美元的上方阻力位。随后，BNB/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 495 美元的强劲支撑位。与这一假设相反，如果价格从移动平均线反弹，则表明市场情绪已转为积极，交易者逢低买入。这将增强其反弹至 635 美元上方的前景。随后该货币对可能会攀升至 692 美元。 Solana 价格分析Solana (SOL) 继续走低，并有望跌至 126 美元的重要支撑位。预计买家将积极捍卫这一水平。 SOL/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
If the price rebounds off $126 with strength, it will suggest solid buying at lower levels. The SOL/USDT pair could reach the 20-day EMA ($149). If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will increase the likelihood of a collapse below $126.
Alternatively, if the price breaks above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay within the $126 to $162 zone for a while. The next directional move may begin on a break above $162 or below $126.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) slipped below the uptrend line on April 27, suggesting that the bears are attempting to strengthen their position.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
如果价格从 126 美元强劲反弹，则表明在较低水平上会有强劲买盘。 SOL/USDT 货币对可能触及 20 日均线（149 美元）。如果价格从 20 日均线转向下跌，则将增加跌破 126 美元的可能性。或者，如果价格突破 20 日均线，则表明该货币对可能会延长在 126 美元至 126 美元之间的停留时间。暂时处于 162 美元区域。下一个方向性走势可能会从突破 162 美元或低于 126 美元开始。 XRP 价格分析 XRP (XRP) 于 4 月 27 日跌破上升趋势线，表明空头正试图加强其仓位。 XRP/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.53) and the RSI in the negative zone suggest that the bears have the upper hand. The XRP/USDT pair could descend to the strong support zone between $0.46 and $0.41. Buyers are expected to defend this zone with all their might because a break below it may sink the pair to $0.35.
If the price rises and breaks above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bulls are attempting a comeback. The buyers will gain strength on a break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.58).
Related: Why is the crypto market down today?
Toncoin price analysis
Toncoin (TON) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($5.27) on April 27, but the relief rally could not even reach the 20-day EMA ($5.70). This shows that every minor rally is being sold into.
TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
向下倾斜的 20 日均线（0.53 美元）和 RSI 处于负值区域表明空头占据上风。 XRP/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元之间的强支撑区域。预计买家将竭尽全力捍卫该区域，因为跌破该区域可能会使该货币对跌至 0.35 美元。如果价格上涨并突破 20 日均线，则表明多头正在尝试卷土重来。买家将在突破并收于 50 日移动平均线（0.58 美元）上方时获得力量。相关：为什么今天加密货币市场下跌？Toncoin 价格分析Toncoin (TON) 在 4 月 27 日从 50 日移动平均线（5.27 美元）反弹，但缓解反弹甚至无法达到 20 日均线（5.70 美元）。这表明每次小幅反弹都被抛售。 TON/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
If the price continues lower and breaks below the 50-day SMA, it will signal the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The TON/USDT pair could tumble to $4.7 and subsequently to $4.50.
However, the bulls are likely to have other plans. They will try to push the price above the 20-day EMA and signal a comeback. The pair may then rise to the channel's support line, where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense. If buyers drive the price into the channel, it will suggest that the correction may have ended.
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) slipped below the symmetrical triangle pattern on April 27, indicating that the bears overpowered the bulls.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
如果价格继续走低并跌破50日均线，则将标志着下一阶段下降趋势的开始。 TON/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 4.7 美元，随后跌至 4.50 美元。但是，多头可能有其他计划。他们将尝试将价格推高至 20 日均线上方并发出回归信号。随后该货币对可能会升至该通道的支撑线，空头可能会在此进行强有力的防御。如果买家将价格推入通道，则表明修正可能已经结束。 狗狗币价格分析狗狗币 (DOGE) 于 4 月 27 日跌破对称三角形形态，表明空头压倒了多头。 DOGE/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The DOGE/USDT pair could decline to the strong support at $0.12, where the bulls are likely to step in. A weak bounce off $0.12 will increase the likelihood of a breakdown. If that happens, the pair may slump to $0.08.
On the upside, the zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.16) and the downtrend line is likely to act as a significant hurdle. Buyers will have to overcome this obstacle to signal that the downtrend could be ending.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) has slipped below the crucial support of $0.46, indicating that the bears are maintaining their pressure.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
DOGE/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 0.12 美元的强劲支撑位，多头可能会介入。从 0.12 美元的微弱反弹将增加崩溃的可能性。如果发生这种情况，该货币对可能会跌至 0.08 美元。从上行方向看，20 日均线（0.16 美元）和下降趋势线之间的区域可能会成为一个重大障碍。买家必须克服这一障碍才能发出下降趋势可能结束的信号。卡尔达诺价格分析卡尔达诺（ADA）已跌破 0.46 美元的关键支撑位，表明空头正在维持压力。 ADA/USDT 日线图。来源：TradingView
The downsloping moving averages and the
下降的移动平均线和
近期新闻
更多>- 基于以太坊的 L-2 网络 Base 日交易量超过 920 万笔，创下历史新高 11-26
- 超EX丨什么？ AI偷了我的钱包？钱包安全不容忽视！ 11-26
- 分析师目标为 2.20-3.46 美元，狗狗币是否有望实现 4.20 美元的登月目标？ 11-26
- PEPE 和 WIF 在大幅调整后触及关键支撑位：未来有何预期？ 11-26
- 随着价格下跌，Whale 抛售 PEPE 加密货币：这会触发回调吗？ 11-26
- 投资者旨在通过这些意想不到的山寨币宝石来扩大投资组合 11-26
- Pepe 价格预测：PEPE 暴跌 4%，但因 Coinbase 上市传闻，Pepe Unchained 预售暴跌 5200 万美元 11-26
- 0.0008 美元的 Meme 币市值预计到 2025 年将超过 PEPE 和 SHIB 11-26
- 加密鲸鱼推动 BlockDAG 预售，尽管 Shiba Inu 和 Pepe 币激增，但两天内筹集了 2000 万美元 11-26
精选专题
更多>>-
- pepecoin 价格分析
- 本主题提供与 PepeCoin 价格相关的文章，涵盖 PepeCoin 的关键见解和分析
-
- 佩佩：模因明星
- 本主题提供与最有前途的模因 PEPECOIN 相关的文章，该项目有潜力成为主流数字货币。具有去中心化、可靠、易用、速度快、成本低、可扩展等优点，预计未来会得到更广泛的应用
-
- Pepecoin 价格预测
- 我们收集了有关 pepecoin 成功故事的事实，并提供了 pepecoin 价格预测
精选文章
更多>>- 1 Avalanche 和 Aptos 竞争对手在两周内筹集了超过 60 万美元
- 2 今日加密货币价格：随着 BTC、Pepe Coin、SEI 的上涨，市场继续上涨
- 3 主要加密货币分析师托尼看好这些模因币，但其中有一个脱颖而出
- 4 MTAUR 准备好粉碎 DOGE 和 PEPE：即将到来 100 倍的价格增长吗？
- 5 Memecoins 在 2024 年激增，Popcat 年初至今涨幅达 7,621%，领先于顶级加密代币
- 6 PEPE Meme 币重创 ATH——看看去年投资 83 美元的 Pepe 币现在值多少钱
- 7 前 4 名山寨币 70% 折扣 – 最后机会！
- 8 狗狗币创造者向 NBA 传奇人物斯科蒂·皮蓬提议 DOGE
- 9 预测狗狗币 (DOGE) 上次 170 倍上涨的顶级分析师预测新的抛物线上涨，这是他的价格目标
- 10 新 Solana Memecoin 特朗普喜欢 Elon 在交易所上市、SHIB 和 Bonk 崩盘前反弹 15,000%